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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable фото книги маленькое 2
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable фото книги

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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72.80 BYN
63.34 BYN
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Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ‘impossible’. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and shows us how to face the world.
Артикул
405528
Издательство
Penguin Group
Тип обложки
мягкая обложка
Автор
Штрих код
9780141034591
Год
Страниц
400
Язык
Английский
Вес
420 гр.
Изготовитель
Penguin Books Ltd. 861590 England. Registered office: 80 Strand, London, WC2R ORL UK
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