The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Name: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Brand: Penguin Group
SKU: 405528
Price: 82.53 BYN
Availability: InStock

(0 отзывов)

94.86 BYN

82.53 BYN

В корзину

Дата доставки.

Доставка в Минск: 30 Апреля (Вт) - 01 Мая (Ср)

Доставка в регионы: 06 Мая (Пн) - 08 Мая (Ср)

Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ‘impossible’. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and shows us how to face the world.

Артикул

405528

Издательство

Penguin Group

Тип обложки

мягкая обложка

Автор

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Штрих код

9780141034591

Год

2011